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April 17, 2010
Posted: 1122 GMT
In a potentially big development in the UK election build-up, in the first YouGov poll conducted since the leaders debate on Thursday night, the Liberal Democrats overtook Labour to become the second most popular party. Gordon Brown’s governing Labour party is now in last place among the three major parties. The LibDems made gains at everyone’s expense – they took 4 points from the Tories, 3 from Labour and 1 from “others.” Usual caveats apply. This is only one poll etc.
But I am removing a caveat from yesterday’s single poll showing Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg won the debate – every poll I saw yesterday supported that result. But remember, voters in the UK technically do not vote for a party leader. They vote for their local MP. So keep your eye on party popularity at least as much as leader popularity. One other fact to remember about the daily YouGov poll – YouGov is polling for The Sun, Britain’s most popular newspaper, so its findings are getting a lot of exposure. A lot of people will hear this result, that the LibDems have moved into second place. That in and of itself may influence voting behavior. YouGov latest voting intention 16 April Our latest daily polling figures for The Sun (fieldwork 15th-16th April) are: Conservative: 33% (Down from 37% on April 15) Liberal Democrat: 30% (Up from 22%) Labour: 28% (Down from 31%) Others: 9% (Down from 10%) Posted by: Richard Allen Greene, The CNN Wire
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